Articles

Articles
Id Title Subtitle Content Active Archived Category User Created Modified Actiuni
Id Title Subtitle Content Active Archived Category User Created Modified Actiuni
8434  German pork exports decline due to FMD  Pork exports from Germany to other countries decreased between January and February 2025 compared to the same period last year. This is primarily due to the FMD-related import bans imposed on German pork following the single FMD case in Brandenburg, AMI recently reports.  <p style="font-weight: 400;">According to AMI, Germany's pork exports declined in January and February 2025. The exported volume during this period totaled 355,300 t, 3 percent lower than in the same period last year.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">This decline in pork exports is primarily due to the outbreak of foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) in water buffalo in Germany in January on a farm in Brandenburg. This resulted in import bans on German pork being imposed in important third countries, making sales in third countries almost impossible for German exporters. As a result, according to AMI, third-country exports fell to 44,000 tonnes in January to February 2025, a drop of more than a quarter.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">Although trade to customers within the EU increased during this period, the decline in exports to countries outside the EU could not be offset. Exports to Italy, the most important buyer of German pork, increased by 11 percent. The Netherlands, the second most important buyer, also received slightly more volume than in the same period last year (+2 percent).</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">Particularly painful was the FMD-related slump in exports to Great Britain, the most important trading partner outside the EU, which fell by 64 percent. At the end of March, the United Kingdom recognized regionalization for foot-and-mouth disease (FMD), and trade with Germany has since resumed. Since mid-March, Germany has been largely FMD-free; the last restrictions in the so-called containment zone were lifted in mid-April. AMI therefore expects pork exports to increase in the coming months.</p>    Market adrian.lazar@industriacarnii.ro 2025-04-28 00:25:59  2025-08-11 07:43:36  Details Edit Delete
8433  20 years’ worth of adjusted data shows consistency in price swings  Australia’s red meat sector has experienced significant market volatility in recent years. By adjusting for inflation using ABS Consumer Price Index data, it creates a better understanding of how cattle prices have moved over the past two decades.  <p style="font-weight: 400;"><strong>The current market</strong></p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">The long-term average National Young Cattle Indicator (NYCI) sits at 333&cent;/kg liveweight (lwt). The March 2025 quarter average sits slightly higher at 376&cent;/kg lwt, with the previous five quarters holding within 42&cent; of the 24-year average. This points to a period of relative price stability, especially when compared to the sharp fluctuations seen over the last decade.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">Short-term volatility continues to be driven by rainfall variability and seasonal supply, but quarterly figures offer a more consistent view of medium-term market conditions.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;"><strong>Destocking, rebuilding and the markets response</strong></p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">Cattle markets are cyclical, responding to herd destocking and rebuilding phases. When viewed through an inflation-adjusted lens, it becomes clear that recent cycles have been particularly intense.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">During the 2014&ndash;16 and 2020&ndash;22 rebuilds, prices surged by 135% and 158%, respectively. This contrasts with earlier cycles, where prior rebuilds saw more moderate increases of 62% and 38%.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">A key indicator of these herd cycles is the Female Slaughter Rate (FSR), which measures the proportion of female cattle in total slaughter. FSR serves as a reliable signal for the phase of the herd. A rising FSR generally indicates liquidation or destocking, while lower levels suggest herd rebuilding.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">Historical data shows a clear correlation between FSR price trends in the young cattle market. Destocking periods, where FSR approaches or exceeds 50%, limit future breeding capacity. This eventually drives demand for replacement stock when conditions improve and rebuilding occurs. Prices then flow through to feeder and finished stock markets.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">In 2019, the FSR peaked at over 56% &ndash; a significant destocking event that reduced rebuilding capability. The result was one of the most intense rebuilds on record starting in 2020, followed by a sharp market rise and, eventually, a correction.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">It&rsquo;s worth noting that market shifts and herd cycle peaks don&rsquo;t always align perfectly. In many cases, markets begin to stabilise and lift ahead of peak liquidation and can turn before the rebuild is complete. Recognising this lag is essential when interpreting market signals.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">According to Q4 2024 data from the ABS, the rolling FSR is averaging 52% &ndash; the second-highest level recorded in two decades. Despite high female turn-off, markets have remained stable due to a relatively strong 30.1 million herd. The herd is currently stable thanks to competing climate conditions across the north and south of the country.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">Despite this, herd numbers are forecast to decline in the next two years. If female slaughter remains high, if and when the industry then rebuilds, it could be more intense, likely impacting young cattle availability and pricing. However, if female slaughter rates turn in an already strong herd, how far could a rebuild go?</p>    Market adrian.lazar@industriacarnii.ro 2025-04-28 00:20:58  2025-08-11 11:17:32  Details Edit Delete
8432  The Vall Companys Group analyzes global pork trade  Albert Morera, director of the Vall Companys pork division, analyzed global pork trade at an event organized by the Vic Market, the Barcelona Chamber of Commerce in Osona, in collaboration with the Gepork Group, and Banco Sabadell.  <p style="font-weight: 400;">Before an audience of more than 150 sector professionals, Morera examined the main drivers of global trade, how geopolitics is affecting and may affect it in the short, medium, and long term, as well as aspects related to biosecurity. Morera also reviewed how the new agreement between the Mercosur countries and the European Union may affect the pork sector.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">"In the short and medium term, the agreement with Mercosur shouldn't worry us. But we must observe how this open door can evolve in the long term", Morera stated. He also referred to the European production and regulatory situation: "We are very demanding of ourselves with our own production in Europe, and we must see if, as a community market, we are prepared to carry out controls both at origin and upon arrival".</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">The event was opened by the First Deputy Mayor of Vic, Bet Piella, and by the President of the Vic Fish Market and the Gepork Group, Josep Puigdollers. The meat and livestock entrepreneur also highlighted the importance of biosecurity as one of the main factors of competitiveness at the sectoral level. "Animal health will be the guideline that will determine the future of the sector; biosecurity is crucial," emphasized Josep Puigdollers. Also attending the event were the Secretary of Food of the Generalitat of Catalonia, Rosa Cubel, and the Director General of Livestock, Rosa Altisent.</p>    Market adrian.lazar@industriacarnii.ro 2025-04-28 00:15:29  2025-08-11 08:44:32  Details Edit Delete
8431  Argentine: Senacsa completes health audit for meat exports to Panama  The National Animal Health and Quality Service (Senacsa) announced that the final phase of the audit conducted by representatives of the Ministry of Agricultural Development (MIDA) and the Ministry of Health (MINSA) of Panama concluded last Friday.  <p style="font-weight: 400;">As reported by Senacsa, "the first phase of the process has been successfully completed", and the preparation of the detailed report and the subsequent approval of health standards will continue.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">During the meeting, chaired by Dr. Jos&eacute; Carlos Martin, president of Senacsa, and accompanied by the general directors, the progress made in the authorization for the export of boneless beef to Panama was evaluated.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">The auditors highlighted Senacsa's strengths in animal health and safety, key aspects for ensuring the quality of the product for export.</p>    Market adrian.lazar@industriacarnii.ro 2025-04-28 00:10:17  2025-08-11 08:59:11  Details Edit Delete
8430  Bolivia: Export ban remains in place  The meeting between the Inter-Institutional Committee on Food Security and Contracabol concluded with a recess until April 28. The ban on beef exports remains in effect until domestic market prices stabilize.  <p>The&nbsp;&nbsp;national government&nbsp;&nbsp;and the&nbsp;&nbsp;National Confederation of Meat Workers of Bolivia (Contracabol)&nbsp;&nbsp;held a meeting last week to discuss the&nbsp;&nbsp;rising prices of beef&nbsp;. The meeting, held in the Rodolfo Illanes auditorium of the Ministry of Justice in La Paz, ended with a&nbsp;&nbsp;recess&nbsp;&nbsp;until this Monday, April 28, with the goal of evaluating concrete solutions to the problem.</p> <p>Participating in the dialogue were&nbsp;Yamil Flores, Minister of Rural Development and Lands;&nbsp;&nbsp;Zen&oacute;n Mamani, Minister of Productive Development and Plural Economy;&nbsp;&nbsp;C&eacute;sar Siles, Minister of Justice and Institutional Transparency; and various&nbsp;&nbsp;deputy ministers from the Food Security Committee.</p> <p>One of the central issues was the&nbsp;&nbsp;ban on beef exports, a measure that remains in effect. Contracabol demands that this restriction be made official through a&nbsp;&nbsp;supreme decree&nbsp;&nbsp;that guarantees its application while maintaining the price per kilo of beef on the local market. Currently, a kilo of beef on the hook is priced between&nbsp;&nbsp;Bs 38 and Bs 40&nbsp;&nbsp;in the interior of the country, and&nbsp;&nbsp;Bs 36&nbsp;&nbsp;in Santa Cruz, while a kilo of live beef is priced between&nbsp;&nbsp;Bs 20 and Bs 22&nbsp;.</p> <p>"They are requesting documentation that guarantees their status; they want a&nbsp;&nbsp;supreme decree&nbsp;&nbsp;that allows the&nbsp;veto to continue&nbsp;. We are negotiating and have adjourned&nbsp;until&nbsp;&nbsp;Monday, so that we can use documentation to prove that the&nbsp;&nbsp;veto is in effect", said Minister Flores.&nbsp;</p> <p>Furthermore, the authority stated that "for now, this issue is closed", referring to exports, and assured that the government is working on&nbsp;&nbsp;improvements to control systems&nbsp;, such as the implementation of a&nbsp; more secure&nbsp;digital&nbsp;system &nbsp;to prevent irregularities.</p> <p>In contrast, sectors such as the&nbsp;&nbsp;Multisectoral Committee&nbsp;&nbsp;are demanding that the Executive branch&nbsp;&nbsp;liberalize exports&nbsp;&nbsp;to encourage the inflow of&nbsp;&nbsp;foreign currency&nbsp;. However, the Government has reiterated that exports of meat will only be authorized once domestic supply is guaranteed and a fair price is reestablished.</p>    Market adrian.lazar@industriacarnii.ro 2025-04-28 00:05:00  2025-08-11 13:44:51  Details Edit Delete
8429  AHDB: The UK pork industry post-Brexit  A lot has happened over the last five years across the globe, and it seems fair to say that few to no individuals, industries or economies escaped the impact of COVID-19, increased geopolitical tensions leading to conflict, and elections in leading governments. This accumulation of change coincided with the UK’s withdrawal from the European Union (EU), and so as we explore the impact of Brexit on the UK pork industry, it is important to understand that there have been multiple compounding factors at play.  <p style="font-weight: 400;"><strong>Labour shortages and workforce challenges</strong></p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">Since Brexit, labour shortages have emerged as one of the most significant challenges for the UK pig industry. The reduction in EU workers, who had historically filled key roles in the farming and processing sectors, has created staffing shortages. The UK meat processing sector saw employment in the industry decline at an average annual rate of 3.5% between 2019 and 2024. Additionally, the Food &amp; Drink Federation&rsquo;s State of Industry Report for Q1 2024 indicated that vacancy rates in the sector stood at 5.0%, remaining significantly higher than those in wider manufacturing (2.7%) and the UK overall (2.9%). These persistent vacancies highlight the ongoing workforce challenges within the meat processing sector.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">Compounding these challenges, COVID-19 restrictions exacerbated workforce shortages across the industry. Pandemic-related travel restrictions, illness and self-isolation requirements further reduced the availability of workers, making it even harder to fill vacancies. Social distancing measures in processing plants also slowed production rates, adding to inefficiencies. The combined effect of Brexit and COVID-19 created a perfect storm for labour shortages, with industry stakeholders struggling to maintain operations at pre-pandemic levels.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">The shortage of butchers, in particular, forced UK companies to adjust by sourcing more processed cuts from abroad, which in turn has alleviated some of the pressure on domestic butchery capacity. For example, in 2019, the final year of pre-Brexit conditions, the UK imported 232,000 tonnes of bone-in pork, whereas in 2024 this figure had declined by 39% to 141,000. In comparison, imports of boneless pork have increased by 3%.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">These trends suggest that the UK is increasingly relying on foreign butchery capacity to alleviate workforce shortages.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;"><strong>Export challenges and trade barriers</strong></p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">Since Brexit, the EU has imported 51% less UK pig meat between 2019 and 2024. Although the transition period through 2020 softened the immediate impact, the movement of goods has been more cumbersome and costly, with products facing delays and increased paperwork requirements at the border.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">Despite growth in UK trade to non-EU markets, these exports still represent a smaller portion of overall UK pork trade volume and tend to contain less high-value product. However, access to new markets such as Mexico and Vietnam has improved UK export opportunities.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">The outbreak of African swine fever (ASF) and the COVID-19 pandemic further complicated the UK's pork export landscape. Initially, ASF outbreaks in Asia, particularly China, led to increased demand for UK pork exports. However, as China's domestic production recovered and the economic impacts of COVID-19 took hold, demand for imports, including those from the UK, began to ease. Compounding this issue, several UK pork processing plants were de-listed by Chinese authorities during the pandemic, restricting access to this critical fifth-quarter market. Notably, two major UK plants remained suspended until December 2024.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">However, the UK's departure from the European Union has enabled it to independently negotiate free trade agreements (FTAs) and join international trade blocs, such as the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP). These developments were promoted by Brexiteers as opportunities to enhance trade relationships and open new markets for UK industries.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">The UK&rsquo;s accession to the CPTPP presents additional opportunities, particularly with the removal of tariffs of up to 20% on UK pork exports to Mexico. While the benefits of these agreements may take time to materialise, they provide a framework for potential growth in non-EU markets.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;"><strong>Increased costs on domestic production</strong></p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">The UK pork industry has faced a sharp increase in production costs over the past five years. While Brexit has played a role in driving up costs, particularly through labour shortages and higher recruitment expenses, the impact of the war in Ukraine has also been a crucial factor. The conflict triggered a spike in global feed prices, especially for key ingredients like wheat, which makes up around half of GB feed rations. Feed accounts for approximately 65% of GB pig cost of production, a key driver of producer net margins.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">The backlog of pigs in 2021, which resulted from labour shortages and processing delays, created an oversupply in the domestic market. This led to a sharp decline in pig prices, compounding the financial strain on producers. At the same time, global economic slowdowns due to COVID-19 impacted demand, both domestically and overseas. The combination of these factors placed significant financial pressure on UK pig producers, with estimated net margins falling as low as -&pound;58/head at the time.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">However, it is worth noting that higher inflation and interest rates continue to impact variable cost components such as energy, finance, veterinary medicines and building maintenance.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">In conclusion, the past five years have been a turbulent period for the UK pork industry, shaped by the intersecting challenges of Brexit, COVID-19 and global economic and geopolitical pressures. While new trade agreements offer some promise, labour shortages, rising production costs and shifting trade dynamics have reshaped the sector in lasting ways. Navigating these challenges will require continued adaptation, innovation and strategic support to ensure a sustainable future for UK pork production.</p>    Market adrian.lazar@industriacarnii.ro 2025-04-25 00:20:53  2025-08-11 06:06:12  Details Edit Delete
8423  AHDB: UK-US pork trade and Trumps tariffs  The UK ships around 7,000 tonnes of pig meat to the US annually, making it the fourth largest destination for UK product. According to AHDB. The vast majority of this is made up of loins, fore-ends and bellies. Pig meat shipped from the UK to the US is a high value, premium product, often boasting outdoor bred, hormone free, and anti-biotic free status. The market value averages around £24 million.   <p style="font-weight: 400;"><strong>Trumps tariffs</strong></p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">On 2 March 2025, US President Donald Trump, announced &lsquo;reciprocal tariffs&rsquo; across a number of global trading partners, commencing 5 April 2025. The UK was hit with additional&nbsp;10% tariffs on all exports to the US, meanwhile many other nations were served with higher rates, such as the EU at 20%, South Africa at 30%, and Vietnam at 46%.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">However, on 9 April 2025, he announced a 90 day pause on the higher rate tariffs, introducing a universal minimum tariff rate of 10%,&nbsp;exclusive of China, where tariffs were further increased. There are some product exemptions from the tariffs, for example pharmaceuticals and microchips.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;"><strong>Impact</strong></p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">The UK does not have a preferential trade deal with the US, so until now UK exports have been subjected to the default &lsquo;most favoured nation&rsquo; tariffs. For pig meat these tariffs are quite low, varying from no tariffs for carcases and half-carcases to 1.4 cents per kg for pork cuts and hams.&nbsp; With the recent changes, all product from the UK will have to incur additional +10% tariff rates. This will make UK exports more expensive to US buyers, which may lead to reduced shipments.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">However, as outlined in the&nbsp;Prospects for agri-food report&nbsp;and recent US enforced laws such as&nbsp;proposition 12, there is good demand from US consumers for higher welfare products. Production systems in the UK differ significantly to the US and are well placed to meet these new welfare specifications and consumer preferences. Whilst a rising price for products from the UK is unhelpful, it is likely any drop in demand would be limited. If all of the increase is passed onto consumers, a 10% rise would be within the general fluctuations seen in commodity markets and exchange rates. Therefore, UK product should remain affordable to many of the, generally more affluent, consumers of higher welfare products.</p>    Market adrian.lazar@industriacarnii.ro 2025-04-23 00:20:59  2025-08-11 10:19:51  Details Edit Delete
8422  BRF and HPDC announce new food plant in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia  With an investment of US$ 160 million in its own unit, the new plant strengthens BRF Arabia's presence in the Saudi market and consolidates the food safety partnership with the Kingdom.  <p style="font-weight: 400;">BRF, one of the world's largest food companies and owner of the Sadia, Perdig&atilde;o, Qualy and Banvit brands, and the Halal Products Development Company (HPDC), a wholly-owned subsidiary of the Public Investment Fund (PIF), Saudi Arabia's sovereign wealth fund, announced today (21) the start of construction of a processed food factory in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia's second largest city. Carried through their joint venture, BRF Arabia Holding Company, the investment is worth approximately US$ 160 million<em>.</em></p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">"The investment represents another consistent advance in our global presence strategy and strengthens our operations in a highly strategic market for the Company, as well as consolidates our partnership with the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia in its food safety agenda", said Marcos Molina, Controlling Shareholder and Chairman of the Boards of Directors of Marfrig and BRF.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">While Fahad Alnuhait, CEO of HPDC, stated: "This new facility represents a major step forward in our strategy to build integrated halal manufacturing ecosystems. In partnership with BRF, this investment reflects our continued efforts to advance Saudi Arabia&rsquo;s position in the global halal economy. The plant will not only meet growing domestic demand for further processed products but also reduce the Kingdom&rsquo;s reliance on imported goods by offering high-quality, locally manufactured alternatives. It directly supports HPDC&rsquo;s broader mandate to develop the halal ecosystem and position the Kingdom as the global hub for halal products. Moreover, it aligns with our commitment to strengthen local manufacturing capabilities, drive self-sufficiency, and create high-value job opportunities, contributing meaningfully to the sustainability and economic diversification goals of Vision 2030".</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">With a production capacity of approximately 40,000 tons per year, the new cutting-edge facility will be dedicated to processed foods. Initially, production will be mainly destined for the Saudi market, with the possibility of exporting to other countries in the region. Scheduled to begin operations in mid-2026, the plant has been designed to allow for future expansion, doubling the initial capacity. The new operation will be BRF's seventh production unit in the Middle East and the third in Saudi Arabia.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">The operation is expected to generate more than 500 direct jobs in the region and will initially use raw materials from Brazil. The investment schedule is planned for 2025 and 2026, with disbursements of approximately US$ 63 million in 2025 and US$ 98 million in 2026.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">The announcement comes just a few months after BRF made its official debut in halal chicken production in Saudi Arabia with the acquisition of 26% of Addoha Poultry Company, a renowned company in the Saudi Kingdom. "Investments in new production units strengthen our presence and competitive edge in the region, allowing us to expand our offer of value-added products to meet the growing demand from consumers in the halal market", says Igor Marti, Vice President for the Halal Market at BRF.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">"This new plant reinforces our presence and structure in the Kingdom, where we already have a factory in Dammam, in addition to our own distribution ecosystem. Jeddah is the second largest city in Saudi Arabia and its strategic location allows for better access to the consumer market and business partners. We are very attentive to the opportunities in the country", says Marquinhos Molina, CEO of BRF Arabia.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">BRF has been present in the Middle East for over 50 years and is the market leader with the Sadia brand. The company exports to more than 14 countries in the region and has a processed food factory in Dammam, as well as its own distribution ecosystem.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">The new operation, in Jeddah, also contributes directly to Saudi Arabia's efforts to achieve the economic diversification objectives set out in Vision 2030, a long-term strategic plan, as well as supporting the government's goal of positioning the country as a global center for halal products.</p>    Market adrian.lazar@industriacarnii.ro 2025-04-23 00:15:47  2025-08-11 13:48:40  Details Edit Delete
8420  EU pork exports remained stable in 2024  According to the EU Commission, 4.264 million tonnes of pork were exported – 0.4% more than in 2023. In contrast, significantly more than 6 million tonnes of pork were exported in 2021 and 2020. China remains the most important buyer. Sales to the Philippines increased significantly.  <p style="font-weight: 400;">Last year, virtually the same amount of pork was exported from the European Union as in 2023. According to an overview presented by the EU Commission, 4.264 million tonnes of this amount were exported; this was 16,000 tonnes, or 0.4%, more than the previous year. However, in 2022, just over 5.3 million tonnes of pork were marketed in third countries, and in 2021 and 2020, significantly more than 6 million tonnes each.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">China was once again by far the largest buyer in 2024. However, China reduced its imports by 3.1% to 1.12 million tonnes. In 2020, the People's Republic, which was then suffering severely from African swine fever (ASF), imported a record 3.34 million tonnes of pork from the EU. Pork exports to the United Kingdom also declined in 2024, but only by 0.7% to 895,700 tonnes.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">The Philippines emerged as the third most important sales market, increasing purchases by 26.1% to 366,500 tonnes compared to 2023. EU pork exports to Japan fell 0.4% to just under 354,800 tonnes compared to 2023. Meanwhile, exports to South Korea increased by 3.8% to 251,500 tonnes. Sales to Vietnam grew even more strongly, by 15.2% to 136,400 tonnes.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">113,900 tonnes of pork were shipped from the EU to the United States, an 11.6% increase over the previous year. Last year, the EU shipped 99,800 tonnes to Australia, an increase of 5.6%.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">EU pork imports decreased by 3.8% to approximately 159,000 tonnes in 2024 compared to the previous year. Deliveries from the United Kingdom fell by 3.8% to 106,200 tonnes.</p>    Market adrian.lazar@industriacarnii.ro 2025-04-23 00:05:49  2025-08-11 01:00:20  Details Edit Delete
8415  Argentine beef exports are forecast to fall 10 percent this year  For the USDA, the 3% reduction in meat production will result in lower shipments. Globally, exports will grow 1% due to growth in Brazil, Australia, and India. Meanwhile, China will set a new record for purchases for the 11th consecutive year.  <p style="font-weight: 400;">Recently, the U.S. Department of Agriculture released its biannual analysis of the international meat market, along with the adjustment to its projections for the current year, which it made in October.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">In Argentine's case, based on 845,000 TCE shipped in 2024, in October it had forecast shipments of 860,000 for this year, while now it maintains that it will be 770,000.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">The decrease is based on the estimate of lower production for the current year.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">For this year, global production is forecast to remain virtually unchanged at 61.6 million tons, as projected declines in the US and the EU will be offset by increases in Brazil, India, and Australia. In the case of Argentine, it forecasts declines of 4% in slaughter and 3% in production.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">For total exports, it estimates a 1% increase over 2024, to 13.1 million tons. Increased shipments from Brazil, Australia, and India will offset the reduction to the US. Thus, Brazil is on track for a new record.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">Chinese imports will grow by 2%, which means the increase will be smaller than in recent years, but will nonetheless set a new record, the 11th in a row.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">U.S. imports will grow by 5%, driven by its demand for lean meat.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">Paraguay, which initially predicted a drop from 472,000 to 450,000, now estimates this year's figure at 500,000.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">In the case of Uruguay, the increase from 473 to 485 thousand is maintained.</p>    Market adrian.lazar@industriacarnii.ro 2025-04-22 00:10:05  2025-08-11 09:26:10  Details Edit Delete
8413  ANICE dissapointed about the live animal exports to Algeria  The Spanish National Association of Meat Industries (ANICE) regrets the decision of the Ministry of Agriculture, Fisheries, and Food (MAPA) to allow the export of live sheep to Algeria.  <p style="font-weight: 400;">This measure will reduce supplies to national slaughterhouses in a&nbsp;tense market, where sheep prices have reached historic records due to the sharp decline in the sheep population recorded in recent years.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">The Spanish National Association of Meat Industries (ANICE) regrets the decision of the Ministry of Agriculture, Fisheries, and Food (MAPA) to authorize the export of live sheep to Algeria, an agreement that will come into effect on Monday, April 21.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">The sharp decline in the sheep population recorded in recent years has reduced the supply of animals, putting pressure on prices for slaughter animals, which are also at historic levels. The rise in animal prices continues to be influenced by the increase in live exports to third countries, with Morocco as the main destination, now joined by Algeria, also in the case of sheep.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">Algeria had established itself as a strategic market for Spanish exports of meat and offal, both beef and sheep. This decision puts at risk a fundamental part of the livestock-meat value chain, shifting activity toward a speculative market focused on the trade of live animals, which will only be sustained as long as the favorable situation persists.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">To illustrate the importance of this market and its strategic significance, in the case of sheep meat and offal exports, Algeria ranked third globally in volume and second in value in 2024, leading the ranking among third-party countries in both cases. In the case of beef, since 2019, meat and offal exports to Algeria have experienced significant growth: more than 116% in value and more than 40% in volume. This growth has allowed the country to consolidate its position as the fourth-largest global destination for Spanish beef exports and the main one outside the European Union by 2024, with a volume of 26,514 tons. In terms of value, sales reached &euro;149.56 million, placing Algeria as the fourth-largest market worldwide and, once again, the largest outside the European Union. The export of live animals to Algeria has always been an impassable health barrier for the Spanish government (due to the health problems that return shipments from countries with a high prevalence of highly contagious animal diseases can cause), and although only the export of live animals is permitted, by boat, it's legitimate to wonder what the reasons are, or what has happened now that didn't happen before, for this restriction to be lifted.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">"At a time marked by a shortage of animals in the domestic market,&nbsp;which has generated tensions and driven sheep prices to record highs, the&nbsp;authorization of live animal exports represents an easy solution that harms&nbsp;the meat chain and all the links that generate added value. This measure directly affects&nbsp;the competitiveness of the sector and the international projection of the Spain Brand" said ANICE's general director, Giuseppe Aloisio.</p>    Market adrian.lazar@industriacarnii.ro 2025-04-21 00:30:51  2025-08-11 14:18:11  Details Edit Delete
8412  JBS Global CEO advocates sustainable agriculture at the heart of climate and peace issues   JBS Global CEO Gilberto Tomazoni highlighted the urgency of placing agriculture at the center of discussions on climate and food security during his participation in the High Level Meeting of the Sustainable Business COP, held last week, in São Paulo, and promoted by the National Confederation of Industry.   <p style="font-weight: 400;">Coordinator of the Food Systems working group, Tomazoni highlighted the need to scale up existing solutions for conflicts that have hunger as one of their causes.&nbsp;</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">"We cannot deal with climate and food security separately. We have to put agriculture at the center of this discussion. We have to increase productivity and improve the way we produce. This is essential if we want peace in the world, because there will be no peace as long as there are people who are hungry",&nbsp;said the executive.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">Tomazoni warned of the disparity between the relevance of agriculture in global emissions and the low volume of investments destined to the sector for the mitigation of climate change. "Currently, less than 4% of investments for climate change go to the area of agriculture and only 1.7% of climate finance is destined for projects in the field in developing countries".</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">The CEO of JBS cited practical examples of the Company's initiatives that demonstrate the potential of sustainable agriculture in Brazil, such as RestaurAmaz&ocirc;nia, a project by the JBS Fund for the Amazon, which, in partnership with Basa (Banco da Amaz&ocirc;nia SA), offers credit to small producers in Par&aacute;, and the livestock tracking program in partnership with the state government and the NGO The Nature Conservancy (TNC), which has donated 3 million tags in total. "At COP30, we will use Brazil to show examples. There are fantastic projects here that can be used and have been scaled up in other countries", he explains.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">To drive this transformation, Tomazoni highlighted the need to involve the entire production chain, from seeds and fertilizers to marketing, and to develop appropriate metrics for measuring emissions and capturing greenhouse gases in tropical agriculture.</p>    Market adrian.lazar@industriacarnii.ro 2025-04-21 00:25:48  2025-08-11 15:53:00  Details Edit Delete
8410  Hungary: Bird flu has reappeared in Hajdú-Bihar County  The laboratory of the National Food Chain Safety Office (Nébih) has detected the presence of the bird flu virus in Hajdú-Bihar County. The affected flock is being eliminated and an epidemiological investigation is underway. Nébih draws attention to the fact that the disease may appear or reappear in areas not currently affected by bird flu, so please pay close attention to your flock.  <p style="font-weight: 400;">Avian influenza was suspected due to increased mortality at a 700-head goose farm in the Kom&aacute;di settlement of Hajd&uacute;-Bihar County. The N&eacute;bih laboratory detected the H5N1 subtype of the virus in the dead animals.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">The affected herd is being depopulated and an epidemiological investigation is underway. A 3 km radius protection zone has been designated around the farm, and a 10 km radius surveillance zone has been established.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">N&eacute;bih draws the attention of animal keepers that avian influenza may appear or reappear in areas that are not currently affected by the disease. Epidemiological discipline must not be relaxed anywhere, as the risk of avian influenza entering poultry farms can only be minimized by strict and consistent adherence to biosecurity measures.</p>    Market adrian.lazar@industriacarnii.ro 2025-04-21 00:15:10  2025-08-11 15:28:39  Details Edit Delete
8409  Amadori Group debuts at TuttoFood with the corporate brand "The Italian Protein Company"   Amadori - The Italian Protein Company will be present for the first time at TuttoFood, the reference B2B fair for the agri-food sector, scheduled from 5 to 8 May at Fiera Milano.  <p style="font-weight: 400;">A strongly desired participation and designed to share with the food community the evolution of the Group born in Cesena: from a great specialist in the poultry sector to a reference player in the field of proteins, both of animal and vegetable origin, enhancing its&nbsp;supply chain: Italian, integrated and controlled at every stage&nbsp;.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">Inside&nbsp;Pavilion 5, Stand C13, the Amadori Group will welcome visitors in a 150 m2 "island" exhibition space to tell the story of the excellence, innovation and evolution of its food offering. This will be represented by the four "colours of proteins": "white&nbsp;" representing chicken and turkey meat, with "Il Campese" as the protagonist, the first and largest Italian supply chain of free-range chicken; "yellow&nbsp;" representing eggs and egg products; "pink" representing pork, through the historic&nbsp;Lenti&nbsp;brand (part of the Group since 2022) which is celebrating its 90th anniversary (it was founded in 1935) by presenting the products of the "Le Eccellenze di Filiera" line, a collection of 100% Italian references from a certified and traced supply chain; finally the "green" of the&nbsp;Veggy&nbsp;Amadori line, which since the beginning of 2025 can boast vegetable proteins from 100% Italian legumes.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">"For us, being present at TuttoFood represents a fundamental moment of discussion and sharing with the stakeholders of the agri-food sector", commented&nbsp;Matteo Conti&nbsp;, Central Director of Strategic Marketing for the Amadori Group.&nbsp;"It is a precious opportunity to tell the story of the Group&rsquo;s evolutionary path and strengthen our positioning, summarized by the new corporate brand &ldquo;Amadori - The Italian Protein Company,&rdquo; which embodies our vision and summarizes the company&rsquo;s Strategic Plan for the coming years".</p>    Market adrian.lazar@industriacarnii.ro 2025-04-21 00:10:46  2025-08-11 16:07:09  Details Edit Delete
8407  China: Pork offal imports continue to grow despite changing consumption  According to the National Bureau of Statistics, China’s pork production in 2024 declined 1.5% to 57.06 million tonnes in 2024.   <p style="font-weight: 400;">Disease outbreaks led to some herd liquidation during the period. There continues to be market consolidation with small holders exiting the industry. Moreover, producers have been careful with sow herd expansion, removing unproductive sows and focusing on efficiency and productivity improvements.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">In 2025, USDA forecast production to be relatively stable, at around 57.0 million tonnes. A declining inventory of finishing pigs will see slaughter numbers ease, however, increases in average carcase weight will support overall production.&nbsp; The impact of disease such as African Swine Fever (ASF) on production is expected to be limited due to stable management.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">Chinese pig prices were generally higher in 2024 than 2023, averaging 17.1 yuan/kg, an increase of around 2 yuan/kg year on year. It is reported that the cost of production for producers was below 15 yuan/kg in 2024 compared to higher costs of above 16 yuan/kg in 2023. Better management of disease, lower feed costs and improved productivity have driven this trend.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">However, so far in 2025 pig prices have been drifting southwards, except for a minor uplift prior to the Chinese New Year holiday at the start of February. Live pig prices started the year at around 16.5 yuan/kg and have fallen to 15.2 yuan/kg in the final week of March.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">Wholesale pork prices have also been weakening through the first quarter of 2025 so far. As with live prices, there was a small uplift in prices through late January and early February to meet the demand of Chinese New Year, peaking at 23.4 yuan/kg on 27 January, prices have since eased to 20.8 yuan/kg on 14 April.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">For the rest of the year, prices are expected to be more volatile, with supplies marginally tightening on one hand and softening consumer demand on the other.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">Changing consumer habits and a stagnating economy are the leading drivers behind lower consumption. Consumers are shifting from pork to other animal protein sources like poultry and seafood for perceived health and cost reasons. Lower demand is seen both in the retail and hospitality sectors.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">Over the last couple of years, we have seen two sides of the coin to China&rsquo;s import volume; a trend of declining pig meat imports but an increase in offal. This has carried into 2024, where total pig meat (excluding offal) volumes declined for a fourth year, falling 31% year on year to 1.06 million tonnes in 2024. However, offal import volumes grew for a second year, up 4% year on year to 1.15 million tonnes. Looking at data for the first two months of 2025, volumes of both total pig meat and offal have grown compared to a year ago.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">The EU27 remains the largest exporter of pig meat (excluding offal) to China. Spain has regained the top spot in the list of importing countries, having been knocked off by Brazil in 2023. Brazil now holds second position, followed by the USA. Both Brazil and the USA continue to be competitive on the global market despite EU prices easing.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">Likewise, for the offal category, the EU27 retains the largest volume share, followed by the USA. However, the market share of EU product has been declining steadily from 2020 onwards. Specifically, the Netherlands and Denmark have lost market share to Canada.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">Imports from the UK witnessed a year on year increase of 10% in 2024. Higher production boosted&nbsp;offal shipments from the UK.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">According to Rabobank, Chinese import demand may be stable in 2025. However, uncertainties on shifting trade flows grow as geopolitical tensions rise. The ongoing tariff war between the USA and China is likely to displace product from the USA down the ladder of importing countries. Further opportunities for European and UK product may be created in this scenario, although the conclusion of last year&rsquo;s anti-dumping investigation is yet to be given.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">Disease outbreaks such as FMD and ASF have also increased in recent months, leading to export bans. This highlights the need for industry and individuals to remain vigilant with biosecurity if these vital trade routes are to remain open.</p>    Market adrian.lazar@industriacarnii.ro 2025-04-18 00:20:37  2025-08-11 13:49:41  Details Edit Delete
8406  ABIEC concludes first edition of Meat School in Portugues in the United States  The first edition of Meat School in Portuguese, an unprecedented initiative by the Brazilian Association of Meat Exporting Industries (ABIEC) in partnership with Texas Tech University, came to an end after an intense week of activities, between April 7 and 11, in the city of Lubbock, Texas.  <p style="font-weight: 400;">The program brought together 28 participants, including representatives of associated companies, rural producers and educational institutions, for a complete immersion in practices and technologies related to beef production in the United States.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">During the course, participants had access to cutting-edge technical content, with classes on cattle production and management, carcass collection and classification, meat cuts, market trends,&nbsp;food safety&nbsp;, and aspects of meat sensory and functional quality. The program also included visits to feedlots, analysis laboratories, and commercial meat processing plants, as well as practical activities in the university's own laboratories and interactions with experts such as professors Marcos Sanchez-Plata, Nelson Huerta, and Jhones Sarturi, among others.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">"ABIEC, together with Texas Tech, brought our industry associates and partners to Meat School so that we could refresh our knowledge, compare our production systems and learn from the US model. We returned to Brazil with more information, more technology and new ideas to share with the industry", said Cinthia Torres, technical director of ABIEC. She was in Lubbock representing the association, accompanied by technical analyst Roberta Doriguello.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">The creation of the course in Portuguese arose from a demand from the association itself, which worked with the university to adapt the content to the Brazilian public. The initiative reinforces ABIEC's commitment to promoting technical training and continuous updating for its members, valuing the excellence and competitiveness of Brazilian beef in global markets.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">"The Meat School was yet another concrete action by ABIEC to strengthen the technical knowledge of our members and expand dialogue with international institutions of excellence. This type of exchange is essential for Brazil to remain a world leader in the production and export of quality beef", highlighted Roberto Perosa, president of ABIEC.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">The Association is already studying the possibility of new editions of the program, with the aim of expanding the sector's participation and consolidating the training as a reference for the Brazilian beef industry.</p>    Market adrian.lazar@industriacarnii.ro 2025-04-18 00:15:18  2025-08-11 15:13:26  Details Edit Delete
8403  ABIEC launches beef promotion project with dinners in Morocco and Egypt   Last week, the Brazilian Association of Meat Exporting Industries (ABIEC) held the first editions of the Brazilian Beef Dinner, a new and unprecedented initiative by the entity that combines gastronomy and commercial promotion to strengthen the presence of Brazilian beef in strategic markets.   <p style="font-weight: 400;">The events took place in Rabat, Morocco, and Cairo, Egypt, bringing together local authorities, representatives of the Brazilian government, importers, partners and associates.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">In Morocco, the dinner celebrated the recent opening of the market for beef offal and the granting of a 40,000-ton quota of tax-free meat. With more than 60 Brazilian plants authorized to export to the country, ABIEC highlights the mutual trust between the two governments and the potential for trade expansion, especially given the reduction in the local herd and the growth in consumption outside the home. The event was supported by the Brazilian Embassy in Rabat, represented by Ambassador Alexandre Parola, and Agricultural Attach&eacute; Ellen Laurindo.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">In Egypt, the seventh largest destination for Brazilian beef exports, the event marked the recognition of important advances such as pre-listing and authorization for bone-in beef. The country, which consumes more than half a million tons per year and imports around 90 thousand from Brazil, is currently the main market in North Africa. Brazilian production destined for the Egyptian market follows strict standards, with Halal certification recognized by local authorities. The action was supported by the Brazilian Embassy in Cairo, under the leadership of Ambassador Paulino Franco de Carvalho Neto, and technical assistance by attach&eacute; Rafael Mohana.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">The two editions of the Brazilian Beef Dinner were also attended by the Deputy Secretary of Trade and International Relations of the Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock, Marcel Moreira, and the directors of ABIEC Julio Ramos (Strategic Affairs) and Lhais Sparvoli (International Relations), as well as representatives of the companies associated with the entity. The guests were able to taste typical dishes made with Brazilian beef, in addition to the traditional barbecue and the classic caipirinha &mdash; reinforcing the gastronomic potential of the product in harmony with local cultures.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">The Brazilian Beef Dinner project is part of a broader ABIEC agenda focused on the international promotion of Brazilian beef, highlighting its versatility, quality and competitiveness in key markets. The proposal is to transform gastronomic experiences into business opportunities, strengthening institutional ties and opening space for new commercial flows.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">"Bringing the flavor and quality of Brazilian beef to tables in Rabat and Cairo is more than a symbolic gesture &mdash; it is a concrete step in building solid partnerships based on trust, respect and appreciation for what Brazil produces with excellence. We will remain steadfast in our purpose of opening doors, strengthening relationships and positioning our product as a global reference", said Roberto Perosa, president of ABIEC.</p>    Market adrian.lazar@industriacarnii.ro 2025-04-17 00:15:54  2025-08-11 14:56:00  Details Edit Delete
8402  Germany is once again completely free of foot-and-mouth disease  All of Germany is officially free of foot-and-mouth disease (FMD). In mid-March, the World Organization for Animal Health (WOAH) had already reinstated the foot-and-mouth disease (FMD)-free status without vaccination for the vast majority of Germany.   <p style="font-weight: 400;">As the Federal Ministry of Food and Agriculture (BMEL) announced on April 14, 2025, in a letter to associations, the WOAH has now also approved Germany's application for recognition of the regained FMD-free status for the&nbsp;containment zone&nbsp;in Brandenburg and Berlin. This means that all trade restrictions are lifted for this containment zone, which was established around the outbreak farm, and the free movement of animals and goods can resume without restrictions. At the same time, the WOAH status of&nbsp;FMD-free without vaccination&nbsp;has been reinstated for all of Germany since April 14, 2025.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">Brandenburg's Minister of Agriculture, Hanka Mittelst&auml;dt, described the WOAH recognition as&nbsp;positive news for all livestock farmers in Brandenburg and throughout Germany&nbsp;in a press release. This success is the result of proven crisis management and consistent animal disease control. Despite this extremely positive development, Mittelst&auml;dt warned of the ongoing risk of a renewed infiltration of the animal disease - particularly through travel, food or animal transport. This risk has increased particularly due to the outbreaks in Slovakia and Hungary. The minister therefore appealed to livestock farmers to strictly adhere to biosecurity measures. Furthermore, farmers who employ staff from regions affected by FMD should ensure that they do not bring any food of animal origin with them.</p>    Market adrian.lazar@industriacarnii.ro 2025-04-17 00:10:26  2025-08-11 14:11:28  Details Edit Delete
8401  Uruguay: Finalizing details for the first live cattle export to Israel  Between the end of the month and early May, the first ship carrying live cattle will set sail for the Israeli market, opening a new trade stream for live cattle that will add to a highly fluid and dynamic market driven by strong demand from Turkey.  <p style="font-weight: 400;">Herbal Paradise will be responsible for the first operation with Israel, a ship that will carry between 3,000 and 4,000 cattle, mostly light steers weighing 250-300 kilos, but also including calves and heifers. In the case of heifers, they must be less than 8 months old and weigh a maximum of 200 kilos upon arrival at their destination. The required quarantine period is 30 days.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">Furthermore, another ship will be setting sail for T&uuml;rkiye in about a month, in a strong trade flow that is sure to continue for the coming months.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">In the first quarter of the year, live cattle exports totaled 58,607 heads, of which 43,426 (74%) went to Turkey, more than double the figure for the same period last year. In the 12 months through March, the total exports totaled 361,000 heads.</p>    Market adrian.lazar@industriacarnii.ro 2025-04-17 00:05:33  2025-08-11 15:46:49  Details Edit Delete
8399  Australia: Growing volatility in the cow market  The cow market is experiencing increasing volatility, with basic market fundamentals likely causing the shifts rather than the 90CL imported price, informs Meat & Livestock Australia (MLA). The 90CL hit a new record as processors are short on supply due to weather conditions.  <p style="font-weight: 400;">For the final week of March, the weekly average price for the Processor Cow Indicator sat at 304&cent;/kg liveweight (lwt). This was 10% above the previous week&rsquo;s price and 28% above the 10-year average.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">Last week, the price lifted by 33&cent; to 319&cent;/kg lwt, with heavy cows at Wagga being sold for 322&ndash;360&cent;/kg lwt. Producers flocked to the saleyards, resulting in a 40% lift in the throughput of cows to the market. Wagga recorded 2,150 cows on 7 April and 1,995 cows on 14 April.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">A similar trend was seen at Dalby on 9 April, with cows and heifers dominating the sale. The saleyard recorded 991 cows while prices eased by 27&cent; to 285&cent;/kg lwt. However, in the previous week, cow yardings sat at 513 while prices lifted by 31&cent; to 312&cent;/kg lwt. An increase in yardings has meant a decline in quality, with a larger proportion of leaner types of cows coming to the market; however, heavy cows still command a premium over leaner cows.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">The cow market is currently being dominated by the market fundamentals of supply and demand. When supply increases, prices ease because an increase in the supply of leaner cows has decreased the price, but producers are trying to take advantage of the highest prices in over three years.</p> <p style="font-weight: 400;">Uncertainty in the meat market will drive volatility. The US tariffs, as well as the recent floods in Western Queensland, have created an environment for potential market volatility. The impact of these events on the market is unknown but has led to producers being more cautious.</p>    Market adrian.lazar@industriacarnii.ro 2025-04-16 00:10:40  2025-08-11 07:29:47  Details Edit Delete
Websolutions by Angular Software and SpiderClass